MLS: 2026 Most Valuable Player: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Lionel Messi at 89.1%, ahead of Thomas Müller at 1.8%. $98K traded across 16 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Lionel Messi | 89.1% | +0.5 |
| Thomas Müller | 1.8% | 0.0 |
| Luis Suárez | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Son Heung-min | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Philip Zinckernagel | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Petar Musa | 0.4% | -0.1 |
| Evander | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Diego Luna | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Carles Gil | 0.2% | 0.0 |
| Martin Ojeda | 0.2% | 0.0 |
| Emil Forsberg | 0.2% | 0.0 |
| Denis Bouanga | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Sergio Busquets | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Dejan Joveljic | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Sam Surridge | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Anders Dreyer | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Landon Donovan Most Valuable Player. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "MLS: 2026 Most Valuable Player"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Lionel Messi is the favorite at 89.1%, followed by Thomas Müller at 1.8%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $98K in total and $1K in the last 24 hours, with about $98K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.