MLS Cup Winner 2026: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Nashville SC at 23.9%, ahead of Inter Miami CF at 16.5%. $23.8M traded across 21 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC | 23.9% | +0.8 |
| Inter Miami CF | 16.5% | -0.5 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14.9% | -0.6 |
| FC Dallas | 6.1% | 0.0 |
| St. Louis City SC | 5.5% | -0.5 |
| New England Revolution | 4.9% | 0.0 |
| Philadelphia Union | 4.5% | -0.2 |
| Chicago Fire FC | 4.5% | 0.0 |
| Los Angeles FC | 4.2% | 0.0 |
| Houston Dynamo FC | 2.8% | 0.0 |
| Charlotte FC | 2.5% | -0.2 |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 2.3% | -0.1 |
| FC Cincinnati | 0.8% | 0.0 |
| Colorado Rapids | 0.7% | -0.1 |
| Seattle Sounders FC | 0.7% | -0.1 |
| Columbus Crew | 0.4% | -0.1 |
| LA Galaxy | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Portland Timbers | 0.4% | -0.1 |
| Orlando City SC | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Real Salt Lake | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Minnesota United FC | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:55 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "MLS Cup Winner 2026"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Nashville SC is the favorite at 23.9%, followed by Inter Miami CF at 16.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $23.8M in total and $5K in the last 24 hours, with about $493K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.