MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Lionel Messi at 98.5%, ahead of Petar Musa at 1.7%. $1.0M traded across 28 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Lionel Messi | 98.5% | +0.6 |
| Petar Musa | 1.7% | -0.5 |
| Kévin Denkey | 0.7% | -0.1 |
| Brian White | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Alonso Martínez | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Hugo Cuypers | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Denis Bouanga | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Sam Surridge | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Anders Dreyer | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Tadeo Allende | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Dejan Joveljić | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Evander | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Tai Baribo | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Hany Mukhtar | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Danny Musovski | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Diego Rossi | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Martín Ojeda | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Philip Zinckernagel | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Djordje Mihailovic | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Milan Iloski | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Prince-Osei Owusu | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Albert Rusnák | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Idan Toklomati | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Marco Pašalić | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Germán Berterame | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Cheikh Sabaly | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Louis Munteanu | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Golden Boot. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Lionel Messi is the favorite at 98.5%, followed by Petar Musa at 1.7%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $1.0M in total and $741 in the last 24 hours, with about $63K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.