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Home / Markets / Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner
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Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Ella Langley at 66.0%, ahead of Placeholder a at 50.0%. $44K traded across 73 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

66.0%
Ella Langley · Trade →

24h move

+2.0
pts · 7d +9.0

Volume

$44K
24h $24 · liquidity $142K

Closes

July 1, 2027
237 days left

MusicAwardsCultureGrammys

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Ella Langley66.0% +2.0+9.0$18K2.0¢
Placeholder a50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder b50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder c50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder d50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder e50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder f50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder g50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder h50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder i50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder j50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder k50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder l50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder m50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder n50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder o50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder p50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder q50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder r50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder s50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder t50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder u50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder v50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder w50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder x50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder y50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder z50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder aa50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder ab50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder ac50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder ad50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder ae50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder af50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder ag50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder ah50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder ai50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder aj50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder ak50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder al50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder am50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder an50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder ao50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Placeholder ap50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Other50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
SIENNA SPIRO24.5% 0.0-12.5$8K1.0¢
The Beaches4.2% +3.6+3.6$5678.0¢
CMAT3.6% -2.1+2.9$6066.8¢
Renee Rapp3.5% -0.9+2.9$1K6.1¢
Adéla2.8% -1.6+1.7$6915.1¢
Slayyyter2.4% -0.1+0.1$7902.6¢
PARTYOF20.6% -0.20.0$5621.0¢
Magdalena Bay0.5% 0.0-0.4$6800.4¢
Dijon0.4% +0.1+0.1$5680.7¢
EsDeeKid0.4% -0.1+0.1$5870.6¢
Mk.gee0.4% -0.1-0.1$5910.6¢
JADE0.4% 0.00.0$5960.6¢
SAILORR0.4% -0.10.0$6070.6¢
The Last Dinner Party0.4% 0.00.0$6070.6¢
Skye Newman0.4% -0.1-0.1$5860.6¢
Ninajirachi0.4% -0.1-0.1$5880.6¢
Bella Kay0.4% -0.1-0.4$5110.5¢
Megan Moroney0.4% -0.1-0.1$5330.5¢
Jessie Murph0.4% -0.2-0.1$6070.5¢
BigXthaPlug0.4% -0.3-0.1$6010.5¢
Loe Shimmy0.4% 0.0-0.1$5730.5¢
Black Country, New Road0.4% -0.1-0.1$5670.5¢
Sasha Keable0.3% 0.00.0$6000.4¢
Jordan Ward0.3% 0.00.0$5810.4¢
Yazmin Lacey0.3% -0.1-0.1$6070.4¢
Model/Actriz0.3% 0.00.0$5980.4¢
Oklou0.3% 0.0-0.1$5710.4¢
Geese0.1% 0.00.0$5510.1¢
Nami0.1% 0.0-0.1$5810.3¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%08-0609-2111-06
Ella Langley

Market rules and resolution

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed artist that wins Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If an artist is not officially nominated for Best New Artist when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Ella Langley at 66% risks 66¢ to win 34¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner"?
As of November 6, 2026, Ella Langley is the favorite at 66.0%, followed by Placeholder a at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on July 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$44K in total and $24 in the last 24 hours, with about $142K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.