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Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Max Verstappen at 34.0%, ahead of Kimi Antonelli at 27.5%. $63 traded across 23 markets.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

34.0%
Max Verstappen · Trade →

24h move

+3.5
pts · 7d -27.0

Volume

$63
24h $32 · liquidity $41K

Closes

November 14, 2026
9 days left

Formula 1f1SportsGrand PrixHide From New

Markets for this game

MarketSide ASide BVolume
Lewis Hamilton
f1 qualifying pole
Yes 14.5%No 85.5%$18
Charles Leclerc
f1 qualifying pole
Yes 11.5%No 88.5%$14
Lando Norris
f1 qualifying pole
Yes 5.5%No 94.5%$13
George Russell
f1 qualifying pole
Yes 8.0%No 92.0%$8
Kimi Antonelli
f1 qualifying pole
Yes 27.5%No 72.5%$5
Max Verstappen
f1 qualifying pole
Yes 34.0%No 66.0%$5
Pierre Gasly
f1 qualifying pole
Yes 1.9%No 98.0%$0
Fernando Alonso
f1 qualifying pole
Yes 1.9%No 98.0%$0
Alexander Albon
f1 qualifying pole
Yes 1.9%No 98.0%$0
Gabriel Bortoleto
f1 qualifying pole
Yes 1.9%No 98.0%$0
Sergio Perez
f1 qualifying pole
Yes 1.9%No 98.0%$0
Esteban Ocon
f1 qualifying pole
Yes 21.5%No 78.5%$0
Franco Colapinto
f1 qualifying pole
Yes 1.9%No 98.0%$0
Carlos Sainz Jr.
f1 qualifying pole
Yes 1.9%No 98.0%$0
Nico Hulkenberg
f1 qualifying pole
Yes 1.9%No 98.0%$0
Valtteri Bottas
f1 qualifying pole
Yes 1.9%No 98.0%$0
Oliver Bearman
f1 qualifying pole
Yes 1.9%No 98.0%$0
Oscar Piastri
f1 qualifying pole
Yes 2.1%No 97.9%$0
Arvid Lindblad
f1 qualifying pole
Yes 1.9%No 98.0%$0
Isack Hadjar
f1 qualifying pole
Yes 2.5%No 97.5%$0
Liam Lawson
f1 qualifying pole
Yes 1.9%No 98.0%$0
Lance Stroll
f1 qualifying pole
Yes 1.9%No 98.0%$0
Yuki Tsunoda
f1 qualifying pole
Yes 21.0%No 79.0%$0

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-3011-0211-06
Max VerstappenKimi AntonelliEsteban OconYuki Tsunoda

Market rules and resolution

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 7, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 14, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Max Verstappen at 34% risks 34¢ to win 66¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position"?
As of November 6, 2026, Max Verstappen is the favorite at 34.0%, followed by Kimi Antonelli at 27.5%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on November 14, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$63 in total and $32 in the last 24 hours, with about $41K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.