Rain during the Brazilian Grand Prix?: live odds and probabilities
Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 72.5% (+11.5 pts in 24h). $2K has traded on this market.
Yes probability
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 72.5% | +11.5 |
| No | 27.5% | -11.5 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market resolves "Yes" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix registers 'Wet' at any point during the Race session for the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix taking place on November 8, 2026. This market will resolve "No" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix does not register 'Wet' at any point. The 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix refers to the race held at Autódromo José Carlos Pace (Interlagos), listed by the FIA as the São Paulo Grand Prix. This market covers the Race session only. Rain during Free Practice, Qualifying, Sprint or any other session does not affect this market's resolution. If the Race is suspended or restarted, the FIA Race Weather Report covering the complete, final classified running of the Race is the resolution source. If the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix is canceled or postponed to a date after November 16, 2026, this market resolves "No". Declarations by Race Control that "the track is wet", broadcast commentary, news reporting, or any other secondary sources do not qualify for resolution, only the FIA's official Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix will qualify. If the FIA Race Weather Report has not been published by November 16, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve off the FIA Weather Report which will be available on the Event&Timing Information page: https://www.fia.com/events/fia-formula-one-world-championship/season-2026/formula-one. If this link is unavailable, the report will be located via FIA's official F1 season hub at fia.com.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- What are the odds that Rain during the Brazilian Grand Prix?
- As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 72.5% and No at 27.5%, on $2K of total volume.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 16, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $2K in total and $366 in the last 24 hours, with about $583 of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.