Which countries will host an F1 race in 2026?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Qatar at 72.5%, ahead of UAE at 71.0%. $2K traded across 3 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Qatar | 72.5% | +1.0 |
| UAE | 71.0% | +5.0 |
| Saudi Arabia | 5.0% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
If an FIA Formula 1 World Championship Grand Prix is held in a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a race is considered "held" in a country if a Grand Prix that is part of the FIA Formula 1 World Championship takes place at a circuit physically located within the territory of the listed country and an official race classification is published by the FIA. The official name or sponsor title of the Grand Prix will have no bearing on the resolution of this market; only the physical location of the circuit will be considered. Exhibition events, testing sessions, and non-championship races will not count toward a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (https://www.formula1.com/en/results) and the FIA, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Which countries will host an F1 race in 2026?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Qatar is the favorite at 72.5%, followed by UAE at 71.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $2K in total and $164 in the last 24 hours, with about $1K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.