F1: Action of the Year: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Max Verstappen at 73.0%, ahead of Kimi Antonelli at 13.0%. $203K traded across 22 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
SportsFormula 1racingmotorsports
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 73.0% | +1.8 |
| Kimi Antonelli | 13.0% | +1.0 |
| Charles Leclerc | 5.5% | -0.9 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 4.9% | +0.2 |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 1.1% | 0.0 |
| Liam Lawson | 1.1% | 0.0 |
| Oscar Piastri | 1.1% | 0.0 |
| Esteban Ocon | 0.9% | 0.0 |
| Franco Colapinto | 0.8% | 0.0 |
| Carlos Sainz | 0.7% | 0.0 |
| Lando Norris | 0.7% | 0.0 |
| Oliver Bearman | 0.6% | 0.0 |
| Isack Hadjar | 0.6% | 0.0 |
| Alexander Albon | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Lance Stroll | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Fernando Alonso | 0.4% | -0.1 |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Arvid Lindblad | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Sergio Perez | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| George Russell | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Pierre Gasly | 0.2% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "F1: Action of the Year"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Max Verstappen is the favorite at 73.0%, followed by Kimi Antonelli at 13.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $203K in total and $144 in the last 24 hours, with about $18K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.