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Live market data

F1: Action of the Year: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Max Verstappen at 73.0%, ahead of Kimi Antonelli at 13.0%. $203K traded across 22 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

73.0%
Max Verstappen · Trade →

24h move

+1.8
pts · 7d +21.3

Volume

$203K
24h $144 · liquidity $18K

Closes

January 1, 2027
56 days left

SportsFormula 1racingmotorsports

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Max Verstappen73.0% +1.8+21.3$6K2.1¢
Kimi Antonelli13.0% +1.0-9.0$23K4.0¢
Charles Leclerc5.5% -0.9+5.2$1K9.4¢
Lewis Hamilton4.9% +0.2-2.5$2K4.1¢
Gabriel Bortoleto1.1% 0.0-0.4$7612.1¢
Liam Lawson1.1% 0.0-0.5$7511.9¢
Oscar Piastri1.1% 0.0+0.4$1K1.3¢
Esteban Ocon0.9% 0.0-0.3$8331.1¢
Franco Colapinto0.8% 0.0-0.4$2K1.2¢
Carlos Sainz0.7% 0.0-0.1$5K0.8¢
Lando Norris0.7% 0.0-1.1$1K0.3¢
Oliver Bearman0.6% 0.0-1.0$30K0.6¢
Isack Hadjar0.6% 0.0-2.0$9910.6¢
Alexander Albon0.4% 0.0-1.1$4K0.3¢
Lance Stroll0.4% 0.00.0$9820.5¢
Fernando Alonso0.4% -0.1-1.3$24K0.3¢
Valtteri Bottas0.3% 0.0-0.9$44K0.2¢
Nico Hulkenberg0.3% 0.0-0.2$9260.3¢
Arvid Lindblad0.3% 0.0-0.9$8110.3¢
Sergio Perez0.3% 0.0-0.9$28K0.3¢
George Russell0.3% 0.0-0.9$1K0.3¢
Pierre Gasly0.2% 0.0-1.7$27K0.2¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%03-1107-0911-06
Max VerstappenKimi AntonelliCharles LeclercLewis Hamilton

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Max Verstappen at 73% risks 73¢ to win 27¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "F1: Action of the Year"?
As of November 6, 2026, Max Verstappen is the favorite at 73.0%, followed by Kimi Antonelli at 13.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$203K in total and $144 in the last 24 hours, with about $18K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.