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Home / Markets / Eurovision 2026: Margin of Victory
Resolved market scorecard

Eurovision 2026: Margin of Victory: result and scorecard

Resolved 150+. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 6.4%; a week before, 4.3%. $62K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

150+
resolved May 17, 2026

Price 1 day before

6.4%
Market was confident and wrong

Price 7 days before

4.3%
30 days before: –

Volume

$62K
7 outcomes

MusicCultureEurovisionRewards 300 4.5 50 Deprec

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
150+WON$11K
<25LOST$21K
25-49LOST$9K
100-124LOST$6K
75-99LOST$5K
125-149LOST$5K
50-74LOST$5K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%05-0805-1205-17
150+<2525-49100-124
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 6% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Eurovision 2026: Margin of Victory" resolve?
It resolved 150+ around May 16, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 6.4% one day before close, 4.3% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$62K across 7 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.