"Drummer Boy" Opening Weekend Box Office: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is 9m+ at 68.5%, ahead of 6m-7m at 16.5%. $2K traded across 7 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| 9m+ | 68.5% | +18.5 |
| 6m-7m | 16.5% | -16.5 |
| 7m-8m | 16.5% | -16.5 |
| 8m-9m | 15.0% | -18.0 |
| 5m-6m | 10.5% | -0.5 |
| 4m-5m | 6.0% | -3.5 |
| <4m | 4.5% | -4.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to how much "Drummer Boy" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (November 6 - 8) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in ""Drummer Boy" Opening Weekend Box Office"?
- As of November 6, 2026, 9m+ is the favorite at 68.5%, followed by 6m-7m at 16.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 8, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $2K in total and $570 in the last 24 hours, with about $11K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.