California Governor Election: Fresno County Winner: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Xavier Becerra at 69.0%, ahead of Person A at 50.0%. $25K traded across 13 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
MidtermsPoliticsElectionsUS ElectionGovernor Elections
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Xavier Becerra | 69.0% | +6.5 |
| Person A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person B | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person C | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person D | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person E | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person F | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person G | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person H | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person I | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person J | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Steve Hilton | 31.0% | +11.5 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "California Governor Election: Fresno County Winner"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Xavier Becerra is the favorite at 69.0%, followed by Person A at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 3, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $25K in total and $1K in the last 24 hours, with about $498 of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.