ATP Tennis: Paris, France Winner: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Carlos Alcaraz at 52.0%, ahead of Tomas Martin Etcheverry at 26.7%. $30K traded across 9 markets.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
Markets for this game
| Market | Side A | Side B |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz moneyline | Yes 52.0% | No 48.0% |
| Taylor Fritz moneyline | Yes 7.5% | No 92.5% |
| Casper Ruud moneyline | Yes 8.6% | No 91.3% |
| Tommy Paul moneyline | Yes 11.0% | No 89.0% |
| Ben Shelton moneyline | Yes 12.5% | No 87.5% |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry moneyline | Yes 26.7% | No 73.4% |
| Rinky Hijikata moneyline | Yes 3.5% | No 96.5% |
| Luca Van Assche moneyline | Yes 4.5% | No 95.5% |
| Lorenzo Musetti moneyline | Yes 1.8% | No 98.3% |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
The 2026 Paris, France tennis tournament is scheduled for October 31–November 8, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Paris, France Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Paris, France Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If a player who is not listed wins the 2026 Paris, France Men’s Singles Tournament, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 Paris, France Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from ATP (https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "ATP Tennis: Paris, France Winner"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Carlos Alcaraz is the favorite at 52.0%, followed by Tomas Martin Etcheverry at 26.7%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 9, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $30K in total and $12K in the last 24 hours, with about $16K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.