ATP 2026 End of Year Rankings: Player to Make Top 10: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Daniil Medvedev at 99.4%, ahead of Frances Tiafoe at 99.4%. $57K traded across 31 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | 99.4% | 0.0 |
| Frances Tiafoe | 99.4% | +1.4 |
| Arthur Fils | 97.0% | 0.0 |
| Jannik Sinner | 96.6% | 0.0 |
| Alexander Zverev | 96.5% | 0.0 |
| Flavio Cobolli | 96.5% | 0.0 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 96.5% | 0.0 |
| Ben Shelton | 96.5% | 0.0 |
| Rafael Jodar | 94.5% | +1.0 |
| Alex de Minaur | 62.5% | -17.5 |
| Tommy Paul | 29.9% | +21.9 |
| Taylor Fritz | 21.1% | +8.5 |
| Novak Djokovic | 20.5% | +20.0 |
| Learner Tien | 3.5% | 0.0 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | 3.5% | 0.0 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 3.5% | 0.0 |
| Ugo Humbert | 3.4% | 0.0 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 3.4% | 0.0 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 3.4% | 0.0 |
| Casper Ruud | 2.9% | 0.0 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 2.5% | -0.4 |
| Karen Khachanov | 2.5% | 0.0 |
| Jiri Lehecka | 1.9% | -0.1 |
| Alexander Bublik | 1.6% | 0.0 |
| Andrey Rublev | 1.6% | 0.0 |
| Luciano Darderi | 1.5% | 0.0 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | 0.7% | 0.0 |
| Jakub Mensik | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Valentin Vacherot | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Joao Fonseca | 0.3% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes the 2026 season ranked within the top 10 (positions 1 through 10, inclusive) of the official year-end ATP singles rankings. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "year-end ATP singles rankings" are the final official singles rankings published after the conclusion of the 2026 ATP Tour season, including the ATP Finals. A player ranked exactly 10th counts as "Yes"; a player ranked 11th or lower, or unranked, counts as "No". If the ATP does not publish a year-end singles ranking for 2026, or the season is not completed, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official ATP year-end singles rankings published at atptour.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "ATP 2026 End of Year Rankings: Player to Make Top 10"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Daniil Medvedev is the favorite at 99.4%, followed by Frances Tiafoe at 99.4%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The close date has not been fixed. It resolves under Polymarket rules once the outcome is known.
- How much has been traded?
- $57K in total and $1K in the last 24 hours, with about $18K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.