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Home / Markets / Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by...?
Live market data

Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by...?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is December 31, 2026 at 8.8%, ahead of November 30, 2026 at 5.3%. $16K traded across 2 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

8.8%
December 31, 2026 · Trade →

24h move

-0.4
pts · 7d -17.0

Volume

$16K
24h $0 · liquidity $1K

Closes

January 1, 2027
56 days left

SportsTennisCultureMen's Tennisnovak djokovic

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
December 31, 20268.8% -0.4-17.0$8K5.9¢
November 30, 20265.3% -0.3+1.4$3425.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-0610-2111-06
December 31, 2026November 30, 2026

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Novak Djokovic officially announces his retirement from ATP Tour professional tennis by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that Novak Djokovic is retiring or indefinitely departing from ATP Tour professional tennis with intention of not participating in any event that contributes to an ATP ranking. The announcement must come from Novak Djokovic or official representatives thereof. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure from professional competition intended to be effective within 12 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither "I will leave competition in 2 years," nor "I will not play forever," would qualify). If Djokovic retires in a qualifying manner but maintains, renews, or announces his intention to participate in the Olympics, that retirement will still qualify. Olympic participation, or participation in a tennis competition which does not contribute to an ATP ranking, will have no bearing on this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the named individual or authorized representatives thereof.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying December 31, 2026 at 9% risks 9¢ to win 91¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by...?"?
As of November 6, 2026, December 31, 2026 is the favorite at 8.8%, followed by November 30, 2026 at 5.3%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$16K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $1K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.