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ATP 2026 End of Year Rankings: Player to be Number 1: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Alexander Zverev at 98.7%, ahead of A at 50.0%. $83K traded across 6 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

98.7%
Alexander Zverev · Trade →

24h move

-0.1
pts · 7d +0.8

Volume

$83K
24h $1K · liquidity $18K

Closes

January 15, 2027
70 days left

ATPSportsTennis

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Alexander Zverev98.7% -0.1+0.8$45K1.8¢
A50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
B50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Other50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Jannik Sinner0.6% +0.1+0.1$32K0.6¢
Carlos Alcaraz0.1% 0.00.0$5K0.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-0610-2111-06
Alexander Zverev

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve according to the player who finishes World No. 1 in the official 2026 ATP year-end singles rankings, as published by the ATP at the conclusion of 2026. If the 2026 year-end rankings are not published, are canceled, or a year-end No. 1 has not been determined by January 14 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are tied and officially recognized as co-No. 1, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be the official ATP year-end rankings as published by the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Alexander Zverev at 99% risks 99¢ to win 1¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "ATP 2026 End of Year Rankings: Player to be Number 1"?
As of November 6, 2026, Alexander Zverev is the favorite at 98.7%, followed by A at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 15, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$83K in total and $1K in the last 24 hours, with about $18K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.