What are the odds that Aryeh Deri out as Shas Leader by December 31?

As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 15.5% and No at 84.5%, on $1K of total volume.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$1K in total and $259 in the last 24 hours, with about $3K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Aryeh Deri out as Shas Leader by December 31?

Live market data

Aryeh Deri out as Shas Leader by December 31?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Aryeh Deri out as Shas Leader by December 31? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 15.5% (-2.0 pts in 24h). $1K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:20 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

15.5%

No 84.5% · Trade →

24h move

-2.0

pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$1K

24h $259 · liquidity $3K

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

Israel resign Politics

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	15.5%	-2.0	0.0	$1K	5.0¢
No	84.5%	+2.0	0.0	$1K	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:20 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aryeh Deri ceases to be Leader of Shas for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aryeh Deri's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aryeh Deri and Shas; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 16% risks 16¢ to win 85¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Aryeh Deri out as Shas Leader by December 31?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 15.5% and No at 84.5%, on $1K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $1K in total and $259 in the last 24 hours, with about $3K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Netanyahu out by...?Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?All live markets Markets resolving this week Prediction market scorecard

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.