50% India tariff in effect by August 27?: result and scorecard
Resolved Yes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 96.5%; a week before, 41.5%. $77K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
Trump PresidencyTrumpGeopoliticsPoliticsTrade War
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Yes | WON |
| No | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 50% tariff on imports into the United States from India goes into effect for any amount of time by August 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 50% tariff on imports into the United States from India goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting India will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "50% India tariff in effect by August 27?" resolve?
- It resolved Yes around August 27, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 96.5% one day before close, 41.5% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $77K across 1 outcome.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.