Who is favored in "Will Trump be impeached by...?"?

As of November 6, 2026, December 31, 2027 is the favorite at 57.5%, followed by June 30, 2027 at 39.5%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$1.2M in total and $60K in the last 24 hours, with about $220K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Will Trump be impeached by...?

Live market data

Will Trump be impeached by...?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Will Trump be impeached by...? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is December 31, 2027 at 57.5%, ahead of June 30, 2027 at 39.5%. $1.2M traded across 3 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

57.5%

December 31, 2027 · Trade →

24h move

-3.0

pts · 7d -10.5

Volume

$1.2M

24h $60K · liquidity $220K

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

Trump Trump Presidency Politics Earn 3.25%Post Election

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
December 31, 2027	57.5%	-3.0	-10.5	$51K	1.0¢
June 30, 2027	39.5%	-5.0	-6.5	$28K	1.0¢
December 31, 2026	2.2%	-0.9	0.0	$1.1M	0.2¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

December 31, 2027June 30, 2027December 31, 2026

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying December 31, 2027 at 57% risks 57¢ to win 43¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Will Trump be impeached by...?"?: As of November 6, 2026, December 31, 2027 is the favorite at 57.5%, followed by June 30, 2027 at 39.5%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $1.2M in total and $60K in the last 24 hours, with about $220K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.