#3 Spotify Artist 2026: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Taylor Swift at 74.0%, ahead of Placeholder 1 at 50.0%. $48K traded across 22 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Swift | 74.0% | -2.5 |
| Placeholder 1 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 2 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 3 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 4 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 5 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 6 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 7 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 8 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 9 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 10 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 11 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Drake | 14.5% | +0.5 |
| Bruno Mars | 4.9% | +2.3 |
| Eminem | 1.7% | +0.3 |
| Bad Bunny | 1.2% | 0.0 |
| Billie Eilish | 1.2% | +0.1 |
| Ed Sheeran | 0.6% | 0.0 |
| Ariana Grande | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Justin Bieber | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| The Weeknd | 0.4% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
Spotify releases an annual report of its most-streamed artists (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/). This market will resolve according to the third most-streamed Spotify artist for 2026. If Spotify does not release its third most-streamed artist for 2026 by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". If Spotify lists more than one artist as the third most-streamed artist, this market will resolve in favor of the artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "#3 Spotify Artist 2026"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Taylor Swift is the favorite at 74.0%, followed by Placeholder 1 at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on February 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $48K in total and $66 in the last 24 hours, with about $9K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.