LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →
Home / Markets / World Cup: Furthest Advancing UEFA Nation
Resolved market scorecard

World Cup: Furthest Advancing UEFA Nation: result and scorecard

Resolved Spain. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 76.5%; a week before, 26.5%. $685K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Spain
resolved July 15, 2026

Price 1 day before

76.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

26.5%
30 days before: 20.5%

Volume

$685K
18 outcomes

UEFASoccerSportsworld cupFIFA World Cup

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
SpainWON$34K
BelgiumLOST$238K
NorwayLOST$153K
SwedenLOST$101K
FranceLOST$73K
EnglandLOST$46K
PortugalLOST$11K
SwitzerlandLOST$10K
TürkiyeLOST$6K
GermanyLOST$3K
NetherlandsLOST$3K
AustriaLOST$2K
CroatiaLOST$1K
CzechiaLOST$1K
Bosnia and HerzegovinaLOST$774
ScotlandLOST$772
Country ALOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%06-0406-2407-15
SpainBelgiumNorwaySweden
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 77% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA that advances to the latest stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "World Cup: Furthest Advancing UEFA Nation" resolve?
It resolved Spain around July 20, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 76.5% one day before close, 26.5% one week before and 20.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$685K across 18 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.