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UEFA EURO 2028: Winner: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Will Country A win the UEFA EURO 2028? at 50.0%, ahead of Will Country B win the UEFA EURO 2028? at 50.0%. $183K traded across 66 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

50.0%
Will Country A win the UEFA EURO 2028? · Trade →

24h move

0.0
pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$183K
24h $235 · liquidity $2.0M

Closes

July 24, 2028
626 days left

UEFAEurosSoccerSports

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Will Country A win the UEFA EURO 2028?50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Will Country B win the UEFA EURO 2028?50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Will Country C win the UEFA EURO 2028?50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Will Country D win the UEFA EURO 2028?50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Will Country E win the UEFA EURO 2028?50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Will Country F win the UEFA EURO 2028?50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Will Country G win the UEFA EURO 2028?50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Will Country H win the UEFA EURO 2028?50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Will Country I win the UEFA EURO 2028?50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Will Country J win the UEFA EURO 2028?50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Will another country win the UEFA EURO 2028?50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Spain22.5% 0.00.0$7K1.0¢
France18.5% 0.00.0$6K1.0¢
England15.5% 0.00.0$6K1.0¢
Germany10.5% 0.0+1.0$7K1.0¢
Portugal8.5% 0.0-0.5$5K1.0¢
Kosovo5.5% +0.1+0.5$4K10.0¢
Norway5.1% 0.0+0.3$17K0.8¢
Finland4.9% +0.1+0.7$3K9.2¢
Iceland4.5% +1.4+0.1$2K8.6¢
Belgium4.4% +0.1+0.1$7K3.0¢
Netherlands4.0% 0.0-0.5$5K2.0¢
Italy3.4% 0.00.0$5K0.8¢
Faroe Islands3.3% -0.4-2.7$2K6.3¢
Armenia2.7% +0.2-3.8$2K5.2¢
Cyprus2.6% 0.0-5.1$1K4.9¢
Liechtenstein2.3% +0.4-2.1$1K4.3¢
Latvia2.2% -0.1-2.1$1K4.0¢
Moldova2.1% 0.0+0.1$1K3.9¢
Slovenia2.0% 0.0+0.1$2K3.6¢
Austria1.9% 0.0+0.7$4K2.7¢
Bosnia and Herzegovina1.9% 0.0+0.9$3K3.3¢
Romania1.9% +0.3-0.3$3K3.5¢
Lithuania1.9% -0.1-2.8$2K3.4¢
San Marino1.8% -0.4-1.9$1K3.3¢
Switzerland1.8% 0.0+0.1$3K0.5¢
Georgia1.8% +1.1-0.4$3K2.5¢
Turkey1.5% 0.00.0$5K0.2¢
Croatia1.3% 0.0+0.1$3K0.3¢
Greece1.2% 0.00.0$5K1.0¢
Poland1.1% 0.0+0.1$4K1.3¢
Denmark0.9% 0.0+0.1$3K0.3¢
Sweden0.7% 0.00.0$4K0.1¢
Israel0.5% 0.0-1.4$2K0.7¢
Kazakhstan0.5% 0.00.0$1K0.8¢
Azerbaijan0.4% 0.00.0$2K0.5¢
Serbia0.4% 0.00.0$2K0.1¢
Estonia0.4% 0.0+0.1$2K0.4¢
Malta0.4% 0.0-2.1$1K0.5¢
North Macedonia0.4% -0.3-1.4$4K0.5¢
Gibraltar0.3% 0.0+0.1$2K0.4¢
Albania0.3% 0.0+0.1$5K0.3¢
Andorra0.3% 0.0+0.1$4K0.3¢
Belarus0.3% 0.0+0.1$2K0.3¢
Hungary0.3% 0.0+0.1$3K0.1¢
Bulgaria0.2% +0.10.0$3K0.2¢
Luxembourg0.2% 0.00.0$2K0.2¢
Russia0.2% 0.0+0.1$3K0.2¢
Czech Republic0.1% 0.00.0$2K0.1¢
Northern Ireland0.1% 0.0+0.1$2K0.1¢
Republic of Ireland0.1% 0.00.0$3K0.1¢
Scotland0.1% 0.00.0$2K0.1¢
Ukraine0.1% 0.00.0$2K0.1¢
Wales0.1% 0.00.0$3K0.1¢
Slovakia0.1% 0.00.0$2K0.2¢
Montenegro0.1% 0.00.0$1K0.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

Not enough price history yet for a chart.

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Will Country A win the UEFA EURO 2028? at 50% risks 50¢ to win 50¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "UEFA EURO 2028: Winner"?
As of November 6, 2026, Will Country A win the UEFA EURO 2028? is the favorite at 50.0%, followed by Will Country B win the UEFA EURO 2028? at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on July 24, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$183K in total and $235 in the last 24 hours, with about $2.0M of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.