UEFA Euro 2028: Reserved Host Slots: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Wales at 50.0%, ahead of Republic of Ireland at 49.5%. $440 traded across 4 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
UEFAEurosSoccerSportsHide From New
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Wales | 50.0% | +0.5 |
| Republic of Ireland | 49.5% | 0.0 |
| Scotland | 45.0% | -1.0 |
| England | 1.6% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed host nation takes one of the two reserved host places at UEFA Euro 2028. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Under the qualification system approved by UEFA, England, Scotland, Wales and the Republic of Ireland enter qualifying as host nations, and two places at the final tournament are reserved for the two best-ranked host nations that do not qualify as a group winner or best runner-up at the conclusion of the qualifying group stage. A host nation that qualifies on merit as a group winner or best runner-up has not taken a reserved place, and the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If fewer than two host nations fail to qualify on merit, the unused reserved places are not awarded and the corresponding markets will resolve to "No". If UEFA Euro 2028 is cancelled, postponed after June 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or the final tournament participants have not been officially confirmed by UEFA within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "UEFA Euro 2028: Reserved Host Slots"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Wales is the favorite at 50.0%, followed by Republic of Ireland at 49.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on June 1, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $440 in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $267 of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.