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Live market data

UEFA Euro 2028: Reserved Host Slots: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Wales at 50.0%, ahead of Republic of Ireland at 49.5%. $440 traded across 4 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

50.0%
Wales · Trade →

24h move

+0.5
pts · 7d -1.0

Volume

$440
24h $0 · liquidity $267

Closes

June 1, 2028
573 days left

UEFAEurosSoccerSportsHide From New

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Wales50.0% +0.5-1.0$4096.0¢
Republic of Ireland49.5% 0.0-0.5$4095.0¢
Scotland45.0% -1.00.0$4086.0¢
England1.6% 0.00.0$3202.8¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%09-1010-0811-06
WalesRepublic of IrelandScotlandEngland

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed host nation takes one of the two reserved host places at UEFA Euro 2028. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Under the qualification system approved by UEFA, England, Scotland, Wales and the Republic of Ireland enter qualifying as host nations, and two places at the final tournament are reserved for the two best-ranked host nations that do not qualify as a group winner or best runner-up at the conclusion of the qualifying group stage. A host nation that qualifies on merit as a group winner or best runner-up has not taken a reserved place, and the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If fewer than two host nations fail to qualify on merit, the unused reserved places are not awarded and the corresponding markets will resolve to "No". If UEFA Euro 2028 is cancelled, postponed after June 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or the final tournament participants have not been officially confirmed by UEFA within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Wales at 50% risks 50¢ to win 50¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "UEFA Euro 2028: Reserved Host Slots"?
As of November 6, 2026, Wales is the favorite at 50.0%, followed by Republic of Ireland at 49.5%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on June 1, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$440 in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $267 of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.