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Home / Markets / Will all four home nations and Ireland qualify for Euro 2028
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Will all four home nations and Ireland qualify for Euro 2028?: live odds and probabilities

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 51.5% (0.0 pts in 24h). $370 has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

51.5%
No 48.5% · Trade →

24h move

0.0
pts · 7d -10.5

Volume

$370
24h $0 · liquidity $71

Closes

June 1, 2028
573 days left

UEFAEurosSoccerSportsHide From New

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Yes51.5% 0.0-10.5$37043.0¢
No48.5% 0.0+10.5$370–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%09-1010-0811-06
Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if all five of England, Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland are among the teams that take part in the UEFA Euro 2028 final tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A team counts as taking part regardless of the route by which it reaches the final tournament, including qualifying as a group winner, qualifying as a best runner-up, winning a play-off, or taking one of the two places reserved for host nations. If at any point it becomes impossible for all five listed teams to take part in UEFA Euro 2028, this market will resolve immediately to "No". If UEFA Euro 2028 is cancelled, postponed after June 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or the final tournament participants have not been officially confirmed by UEFA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 52% risks 52¢ to win 49¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Will all four home nations and Ireland qualify for Euro 2028?
As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 51.5% and No at 48.5%, on $370 of total volume.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on June 1, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$370 in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $71 of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.