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Home / Markets / Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by..
Resolved market scorecard

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by...?: result and scorecard

Resolved January 31. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 33.0%; a week before, 64.0%. $1.1M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

January 31
resolved January 30, 2026

Price 1 day before

33.0%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

64.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$1.1M
4 outcomes

EpsteinTrumpPolitics

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
January 31WON$325K
February 28WON$117K
February 15WON$91K
January 24LOST$603K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%01-1601-2301-30
January 31February 28February 15January 24
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 33% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration publicly releases any files pertaining to Jeffrey Epstein between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any release will qualify, including re-releases, partial releases, unsubstantive materials, or documents whose contents were already known from prior reporting. Qualifying releases must be made by the Executive Branch itself, such as through an official government website, press release, or FOIA reading room. Transmissions solely to courts, Congress, or other non-Executive entities do not qualify unless the Executive Branch subsequently makes the files publicly accessible. The following will not qualify: -Announcements of releases that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe. -Releases made exclusively by courts, Congress or its committees, state or local governments, private entities, or leaks not officially attributable to the Executive Branch. -Leaked, unofficial, or anonymously sourced disclosures. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by...?" resolve?
It resolved January 31 around February 28, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 33.0% one day before close, 64.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$1.1M across 4 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.