What are the odds that Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? ?

As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 69.0% and No at 31.0%, on $24K of total volume.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$24K in total and $220 in the last 24 hours, with about $5K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

Live market data

Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? : live odds and probabilities

Name: Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 69.0% (-2.5 pts in 24h). $24K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

69.0%

No 31.0% · Trade →

24h move

-2.5

pts · 7d -15.5

Volume

$24K

24h $220 · liquidity $5K

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

international affairs Philippines Politics Sara Duterte impeachment

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	69.0%	-2.5	-15.5	$24K	14.0¢
No	31.0%	+2.5	+15.5	$24K	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte. The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 69% risks 69¢ to win 31¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? ?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 69.0% and No at 31.0%, on $24K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $24K in total and $220 in the last 24 hours, with about $5K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.