What are the odds that Święczkowski charged by December 31?

As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 53.5% and No at 46.5%, on $3K of total volume.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$3K in total and $113 in the last 24 hours, with about $7K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Święczkowski charged by December 31?

Live market data

Święczkowski charged by December 31?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Święczkowski charged by December 31? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 53.5% (+1.5 pts in 24h). $3K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

53.5%

No 46.5% · Trade →

24h move

+1.5

pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$3K

24h $113 · liquidity $7K

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

crime Courts Poland indict Politics

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	53.5%	+1.5	0.0	$3K	3.0¢
No	46.5%	-1.5	0.0	$3K	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, in any jurisdiction, any law enforcement or legal authority formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Bogdan Święczkowski, the President of Poland's Constitutional Tribunal, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government, law enforcement, and legal entities; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 54% risks 54¢ to win 47¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Święczkowski charged by December 31?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 53.5% and No at 46.5%, on $3K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $3K in total and $113 in the last 24 hours, with about $7K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.