What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 98.9% one day before close, 96.6% one week before and 92.5% one month before.

Home / Markets / Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30?

Resolved market scorecard

Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30?: result and scorecard

Name: Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 98.9%; a week before, 96.6%. $4K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

resolved July 1, 2026

Price 1 day before

98.9%

Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

96.6%

30 days before: 92.5%

Volume

$4K

1 outcome

Florida Trump Cabinet Politics Trump

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Yes	LOST	$4K
No	WON	$4K

Price history to resolution

Yes

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Ron DeSantis to his administration between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30?" resolve?: It resolved No around June 30, 2026.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 98.9% one day before close, 96.6% one week before and 92.5% one month before.
How much was traded?: $4K across 1 outcome.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.