Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Jeremy Matlow at 98.5%, ahead of Candidate A at 50.0%. $170K traded across 12 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
FloridaPoliticsElectionsTallahasseeMayoral Elections
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Matlow | 98.5% | +1.0 |
| Candidate A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate B | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate C | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate D | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate E | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate F | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Loranne Ausley | 0.1% | -0.9 |
| Michael Foust | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Daryl Parks | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Al Lawson | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Jeremy Matlow is the favorite at 98.5%, followed by Candidate A at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on August 19, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $170K in total and $457 in the last 24 hours, with about $70K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.