Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Anatoly Yakovenko at 49.9%, ahead of Michael Saylor at 49.6%. $37K traded across 21 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Anatoly Yakovenko | 49.9% | 0.0 |
| Michael Saylor | 49.6% | -0.4 |
| Su Zhu | 45.1% | +0.1 |
| Javier Milei | 45.0% | +2.5 |
| Andrew Kang | 45.0% | -0.7 |
| Gainzy | 44.9% | +0.3 |
| GCR | 35.5% | +32.6 |
| light | 35.4% | -7.4 |
| Martin Shkreli | 26.5% | +11.0 |
| CZ | 25.4% | +0.1 |
| Guy Young | 23.9% | +12.8 |
| Ansem | 23.3% | +5.9 |
| SBF | 19.4% | +13.3 |
| Jesse Pollak | 18.3% | +13.2 |
| thiccy | 12.5% | 0.0 |
| Arthur Hayes | 9.6% | +0.1 |
| ThreadGuy | 9.4% | -0.8 |
| Brian Armstrong | 7.1% | -0.4 |
| Jeff Yan | 6.5% | -0.4 |
| Vitalik Buterin | 5.8% | +0.1 |
| Thomas Lee | 1.2% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” “Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed). Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution. The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Anatoly Yakovenko is the favorite at 49.9%, followed by Michael Saylor at 49.6%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $37K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $4K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.