What are the odds that Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026?

As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 28.5% and No at 71.5%, on $19K of total volume.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$19K in total and $40 in the last 24 hours, with about $110 of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026?

Live market data

Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 28.5% (-3.0 pts in 24h). $19K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

28.5%

No 71.5% · Trade →

24h move

-3.0

pts · 7d -5.5

Volume

$19K

24h $40 · liquidity $110

Closes

January 1, 2027

56 days left

Crypto Justin Sun Crypto Culture

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	28.5%	-3.0	-5.5	$19K	49.6¢
No	71.5%	+3.0	+5.5	$19K	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Sun meets with Elon Musk by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Justin Sun and Elon Musk are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 28% risks 28¢ to win 72¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 28.5% and No at 71.5%, on $19K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $19K in total and $40 in the last 24 hours, with about $110 of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.