LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →
Home / Markets / What will Trump say during Wisconsin events?
Resolved market scorecard

What will Trump say during Wisconsin events?: result and scorecard

Resolved Job 20+ times. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 36.0%; a week before, –. $77K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Job 20+ times
resolved June 5, 2026

Price 1 day before

36.0%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$77K
30 outcomes

TrumpMentionsPolitics

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Job 20+ timesWON$5K
Hell 7+ timesWON$5K
Death TaxWON$4K
EggWON$4K
Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ timesWON$4K
LandslideWON$3K
FuelWON$3K
SoybeanWON$2K
AI / Artificial IntelligenceWON$2K
Percent 13+ timesWON$2K
Border 7+ timesWON$2K
Big Beautiful BillWON$2K
Iran 5+ timesWON$2K
IowaWON$1K
ChildWON$1K
President XiWON$979
DrugWON$966
Nuclear 3+ timesLOST$16K
CornLOST$2K
-No Qualifying Event-LOST$2K
Six SevenLOST$2K
Crypto / BitcoinLOST$2K
SurplusLOST$1K
ScamLOST$1K
MIT / Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyLOST$1K
BeefLOST$1K
PigLOST$1K
Tariff 5+ timesLOST$704
Swing StateLOST$571
RegulationLOST$204

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%06-0306-0406-06
Job 20+ timesHell 7+ timesDeath TaxEgg
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 36% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Donald Trump is scheduled to visit Wisconsin on June 5, 2026 (https://www.weau.com/2026/06/01/president-trump-coming-chippewa-county-friday-source-says/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during remarks during events in Wisconsin scheduled for June 5, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about remarks in Wisconsin on June 5, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by June 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Frequently asked questions

How did "What will Trump say during Wisconsin events?" resolve?
It resolved Job 20+ times around June 6, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 36.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$77K across 30 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.