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Home / Markets / What will Trump say during Dedication Ceremony on January 16
Resolved market scorecard

What will Trump say during Dedication Ceremony on January 16?: result and scorecard

Resolved Trump / Florida 4+ times. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at –; a week before, –. $26K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Trump / Florida 4+ times
resolved January 16, 2026

Price 1 day before

–
Unknown

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$26K
19 outcomes

TrumpPoliticsMentions

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Trump / Florida 4+ timesWON$3K
Ron / DeSantisWON$880
HottestWON$754
Honored / Honor 3+ timesWON$748
IranWON$701
Mar-a-LagoWON$485
CrimeWON$349
MinnesotaWON$303
TariffWON$292
Stock MarketWON$236
Any QuestionLOST$8K
Crypto / BitcoinLOST$3K
BidenLOST$2K
NobelLOST$2K
Eight Wars / Eighth WarLOST$1K
HealthcareLOST$386
Hell 3+ timesLOST$366
4-mileLOST$365
Gold / GoldenLOST$317

Price history to resolution

Not enough price history yet for a chart.
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at – the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event titled "The President participates in the Southern Boulevard Dedication Ceremony" on January 16, 2026, 3:15PM ET (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about the scheduled event titled "The President participates in the Southern Boulevard Dedication Ceremony" on January 16, 2026, 3:15PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Frequently asked questions

How did "What will Trump say during Dedication Ceremony on January 16?" resolve?
It resolved Trump / Florida 4+ times around January 16, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at – one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$26K across 19 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.