Resolved market scorecard
What will Trump say during Colorado rally?: result and scorecard
Resolved Border 30+ times. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 39.5%; a week before, –. $1.3M traded in total.
Result
Border 30+ times
resolved October 12, 2024
Price 1 day before
39.5%
Market leaned the wrong way
Price 7 days before
–
30 days before: –
Volume
$1.3M
22 outcomes
Trumpdeprec USA ElectionPoliticsMentions
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Border 30+ times | WON |
| Border 20+ times | WON |
| FEMA | WON |
| Drill Baby Drill | WON |
| Vance | WON |
| God 2+ times | WON |
| Hillary | WON |
| Green New Scam 2+ times | OPEN |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | LOST |
| Missile Defense Shield | LOST |
| Tax 30+ times | LOST |
| Sleepy/Crooked Joe 5+ times | LOST |
| China 10+ times | LOST |
| Barack Hussein Obama | LOST |
| Fracking 3+ times | LOST |
| Trans | LOST |
| Hurricane 3+ times | LOST |
| Kamala 30+ times | LOST |
| Too Big To Rig | LOST |
| North Carolina 3+ times | LOST |
| Reagan | LOST |
| Death Tax | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Border 30+ timesBorder 20+ timesFEMADrill Baby Drill
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 40% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This is a market group over what Donald J. Trump will say during his rally in Aurora, Colorado scheduled for October 11, 2024.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "What will Trump say during Colorado rally?" resolve?
- It resolved Border 30+ times around October 11, 2024.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 39.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $1.3M across 22 outcomes.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.