What will Trump say at the Thanksgiving Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?: result and scorecard
Resolved Gobble / Waddle 10+ times. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 59.0%; a week before, –. $351K traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
TrumpMentionsPoliticsThanksgivingThanksgiveing
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Gobble / Waddle 10+ times | WON |
| Thank / Thanks 20+ times | WON |
| Nuclear / B-2 | WON |
| Turkey 10+ times | WON |
| Affordability / Affordable | WON |
| America / American 8+ | WON |
| Hell | WON |
| Pardon / Pardoned 7+ times | WON |
| Big Beautiful Bill | WON |
| Job 5+ times | WON |
| Farmer | WON |
| Kennedy / Autism | WON |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | LOST |
| Putin / Zelensky | LOST |
| Recep Tayyip / Erdoğan | LOST |
| Tariff | LOST |
| Ballroom | LOST |
| Pilgrim | LOST |
| Honey | LOST |
| Rock / Scissors | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Thanksgiving Turkey Pardon Ceremony event on November 25, 2025 at 12PM ET (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CVMX5t6ekZQcMp9QA8xQP). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). Mentions of "Thanksgiving" will qualify toward the number of times Trump says "Thanks". If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled appearance at the Thanksgiving Turkey Pardon Ceremony event on November 25, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by November 25, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "What will Trump say at the Thanksgiving Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?" resolve?
- It resolved Gobble / Waddle 10+ times around November 25, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 59.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $351K across 20 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.