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Home / Markets / What will Trump say at the Thanksgiving Turkey Pardon on Tue
Resolved market scorecard

What will Trump say at the Thanksgiving Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?: result and scorecard

Resolved Gobble / Waddle 10+ times. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 59.0%; a week before, –. $351K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Gobble / Waddle 10+ times
resolved November 25, 2025

Price 1 day before

59.0%
Market was a coin flip

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$351K
20 outcomes

TrumpMentionsPoliticsThanksgivingThanksgiveing

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Gobble / Waddle 10+ timesWON$119K
Thank / Thanks 20+ timesWON$31K
Nuclear / B-2WON$19K
Turkey 10+ timesWON$14K
Affordability / AffordableWON$13K
America / American 8+WON$12K
HellWON$9K
Pardon / Pardoned 7+ timesWON$9K
Big Beautiful BillWON$7K
Job 5+ timesWON$6K
FarmerWON$5K
Kennedy / AutismWON$4K
Crypto / BitcoinLOST$38K
Putin / ZelenskyLOST$32K
Recep Tayyip / ErdoğanLOST$14K
TariffLOST$7K
BallroomLOST$5K
PilgrimLOST$4K
HoneyLOST$4K
Rock / ScissorsLOST$1K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%11-2411-2411-25
Gobble / Waddle 10+ timesThank / Thanks 20+ timesNuclear / B-2Turkey 10+ times
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 59% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Thanksgiving Turkey Pardon Ceremony event on November 25, 2025 at 12PM ET (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CVMX5t6ekZQcMp9QA8xQP). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). Mentions of "Thanksgiving" will qualify toward the number of times Trump says "Thanks". If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled appearance at the Thanksgiving Turkey Pardon Ceremony event on November 25, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by November 25, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Frequently asked questions

How did "What will Trump say at the Thanksgiving Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?" resolve?
It resolved Gobble / Waddle 10+ times around November 25, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 59.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$351K across 20 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.