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Resolved market scorecard

What will Trump say at the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?: result and scorecard

Resolved AI / Artificial Intelligence. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 92.5%; a week before, –. $256K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

AI / Artificial Intelligence
resolved July 15, 2025

Price 1 day before

92.5%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$256K
17 outcomes

MentionsTrump

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
AI / Artificial IntelligenceWON$62K
Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ timesWON$20K
Job 7+ timesWON$19K
China 5+ timesWON$11K
Beautiful coal / Clean coalWON$11K
Drill baby drillWON$10K
Green new scamWON$10K
TariffWON$8K
ChipWON$8K
Crypto / BitcoinLOST$29K
ElonLOST$16K
AmazonLOST$14K
Rare EarthLOST$10K
Frack / FrackingLOST$10K
NvidiaLOST$8K
PipelineLOST$7K
StargateLOST$3K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%07-1207-1307-15
AI / Artificial IntelligenceMillion / Billion / Trillion 15+ timesJob 7+ timesChina 5+ times
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 93% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Donald Trump is expected to deliver a speech at the Energy and Innovation Summit scheduled for July 15 at the Carnegie Mellon campus. You can read more about that here: https://www.cmu.edu/student-affairs/messages-from-the-dean/pa-energy-and-innovation-summit.html This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's scheduled main appearance at the "Energy and Innovation Summit" event. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 15 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the video of the event.

Frequently asked questions

How did "What will Trump say at the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?" resolve?
It resolved AI / Artificial Intelligence around July 15, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 92.5% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$256K across 17 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.