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Home / Markets / What will Trump post this week? (March 23 - March 29)
Resolved market scorecard

What will Trump post this week? (March 23 - March 29): result and scorecard

Resolved NATO. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 39.0%; a week before, –. $111K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

NATO
resolved March 26, 2026

Price 1 day before

39.0%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

–
30 days before: –

Volume

$111K
24 outcomes

TrumpPoliticsMentions

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
NATOWON$0
Peace Through StrengthWON$0
FBIWON$0
FoolWON$0
TerroristWON$0
CongresswomanWON$0
TexasWON$0
SpainLOST$13K
BoeingLOST$11K
NastyLOST$10K
PanicanLOST$10K
Democrat ShutdownLOST$9K
AI / Artificial IntelligenceLOST$8K
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNNLOST$7K
BallroomLOST$6K
Impeach / ImpeachmentLOST$6K
Bomb / BomberLOST$6K
Bully of the Middle EastLOST$5K
Free Tina PetersLOST$5K
Epic FuryLOST$5K
Ayatollah / KhameneiLOST$4K
ExcursionLOST$3K
Trump derangement / Trump derangedLOST$2K
Evil EmpireLOST$1K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%03-2103-2303-26
NATOPeace Through StrengthFBIFool
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 39% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Frequently asked questions

How did "What will Trump post this week? (March 23 - March 29)" resolve?
It resolved NATO around March 29, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 39.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$111K across 24 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.