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Resolved market scorecard

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?: result and scorecard

Resolved -No Qualifying Event-. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 95.3%; a week before, 36.1%. $77K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

-No Qualifying Event-
resolved September 1, 2026

Price 1 day before

95.3%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

36.1%
30 days before: 2.9%

Volume

$77K
23 outcomes

TrumprubioleavittMentionsPolitics

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
-No Qualifying Event-WON$5K
Illegal / IllegalsLOST$9K
Iran 5+ timesLOST$7K
BorderLOST$7K
President 50+ timesLOST$6K
AlienLOST$5K
PinkLOST$4K
Russia / UkraineLOST$4K
CDC / WHOLOST$3K
PoolLOST$3K
Joe / Biden 5+ timesLOST$3K
Commander in ChiefLOST$3K
Xi / JinpingLOST$3K
Go ahead 5+ timesLOST$3K
World CupLOST$2K
MadnessLOST$2K
CeasefireLOST$2K
RedLOST$2K
Hormuz / StraitLOST$2K
MexicoLOST$1K
President 60+ timesLOST$1K
Administration 10+ timesLOST$1K
CongressLOST$184

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%07-2808-1409-01
-No Qualifying Event-Illegal / IllegalsIran 5+ timesBorder
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 95% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such press briefing happens by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Frequently asked questions

How did "What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?" resolve?
It resolved -No Qualifying Event- around September 1, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 95.3% one day before close, 36.1% one week before and 2.9% one month before.
How much was traded?
$77K across 23 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.