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Home / Markets / What will be said on ICEMAN?
Resolved market scorecard

What will be said on ICEMAN?: result and scorecard

Resolved Crypto / Bitcoin. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 14.0%; a week before, 12.5%. $114K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Crypto / Bitcoin
resolved May 15, 2026

Price 1 day before

14.0%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

12.5%
30 days before: –

Volume

$114K
32 outcomes

MusicCulturealbumCelebritiesMentions

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Crypto / BitcoinWON$13K
CovidWON$9K
TorontoWON$4K
VirgilWON$2K
ASAP / RockyWON$1K
KhaledWON$321
Patek / AP / RMOPEN$0
PolymarketOPEN$15K
Kawhi / LeonardLOST$19K
Six SevenLOST$7K
RussiaLOST$6K
DaddyLOST$5K
EpsteinLOST$4K
Trump / ObamaLOST$4K
Super BowlLOST$4K
BatmanLOST$3K
2026LOST$3K
KanyeLOST$3K
ArmaniLOST$3K
Kendrick / LamarLOST$2K
LeBron / BronnyLOST$2K
Nuclear / NukeLOST$2K
CalebLOST$2K
PinocchioLOST$1K
No No NoLOST$990
AI / Artificial IntelligenceLOST$715
DelilahLOST$181
Timothee / KylieLOST$177
CurryLOST$170
LukaLOST$170
DiddyLOST$170
BuddenLOST$149

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%04-2305-0405-15
Crypto / BitcoinCovidTorontoVirgil
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 14% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

Drake is expected to release his new album "ICEMAN" in 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone on the specified transcript for any track on the officially released full "ICEMAN" album. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes. Samples or clips of audio where people are speaking or singing which are included in the album will qualify toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript. AI-generated audio will count toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript. In the case a term is censored on a relevant transcript, audio may be consulted to verify that a qualifying mention occurred. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

Frequently asked questions

How did "What will be said on ICEMAN?" resolve?
It resolved Crypto / Bitcoin around May 15, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 14.0% one day before close, 12.5% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$114K across 32 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.