Resolved market scorecard
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?: result and scorecard
Resolved ↓ 77,500. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 9.5%; a week before, 36.5%. $17.4M traded in total.
Result
↓ 77,500
resolved October 30, 2026
Price 1 day before
9.5%
Market was confident and wrong
Price 7 days before
36.5%
30 days before: –
Volume
$17.4M
46 outcomes
BitcoinMonthlyHit PriceCryptoCrypto Prices
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| ↓ 77,500 | WON |
| ↓ 80,000 | WON |
| ↓ 82,500 | WON |
| ↓ 80,000 | WON |
| ↑ 82,500 | WON |
| ↓ 82,500 | WON |
| ↑ 85,000 | WON |
| ↓ 85,000 | WON |
| ↓ 80,000 | WON |
| ↑ 82,500 | WON |
| ↓ 82,500 | WON |
| ↓ 82,500 | WON |
| ↓ 80,000 | WON |
| ↑ 85,000 | WON |
| ↑ 82,500 | WON |
| ↑ 82,500 | WON |
| ↓ 77,500 | WON |
| ↓ 80,000 | WON |
| ↓ 80,000 | WON |
| ↑ 80,000 | WON |
| ↓ 82,500 | WON |
| ↓ 85,000 | WON |
| ↓ 77,500 | WON |
| ↑ 82,500 | WON |
| ↓ 85,000 | WON |
| ↓ 82,500 | WON |
| ↓ 82,500 | WON |
| ↑ 87,500 | LOST |
| ↓ 75,000 | LOST |
| ↑ 90,000 | LOST |
| ↑ 85,000 | LOST |
| ↑ 105,000 | LOST |
| ↓ 62,500 | LOST |
| ↓ 65,000 | LOST |
| ↓ 70,000 | LOST |
| ↓ 72,500 | LOST |
| ↑ 150,000 | LOST |
| ↑ 92,500 | LOST |
| ↑ 82,500 | LOST |
| ↓ 60,000 | LOST |
| ↑ 102,500 | LOST |
| ↓ 67,500 | LOST |
| ↑ 100,000 | LOST |
| ↑ 95,000 | LOST |
| ↑ 97,500 | LOST |
| ↑ 80,000 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
↓ 77,500↓ 80,000↓ 82,500↓ 80,000
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 10% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
Frequently asked questions
- How did "What price will Bitcoin hit in October?" resolve?
- It resolved ↓ 77,500 around November 1, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 9.5% one day before close, 36.5% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $17.4M across 46 outcomes.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.