Resolved market scorecard
What price will Bitcoin hit in May?: result and scorecard
Resolved ↓ 75,000. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 50.5%; a week before, 61.5%. $42.2M traded in total.
Result
↓ 75,000
resolved May 23, 2026
Price 1 day before
50.5%
Market was a coin flip
Price 7 days before
61.5%
30 days before: –
Volume
$42.2M
25 outcomes
BitcoinMonthlyHit PriceCryptoCrypto Prices
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| ↓ 75,000 | WON |
| ↑ 80,000 | WON |
| ↑ 75,000 | WON |
| ↑ 150,000 | LOST |
| ↑ 85,000 | LOST |
| ↓ 70,000 | LOST |
| ↑ 90,000 | LOST |
| ↓ 65,000 | LOST |
| ↓ 60,000 | LOST |
| ↑ 95,000 | LOST |
| ↑ 100,000 | LOST |
| ↓ 55,000 | LOST |
| ↓ 35,000 | LOST |
| ↓ 50,000 | LOST |
| ↑ 105,000 | LOST |
| ↓ 45,000 | LOST |
| ↑ 120,000 | LOST |
| ↓ 72,500 | LOST |
| ↑ 110,000 | LOST |
| ↑ 115,000 | LOST |
| ↓ 30,000 | LOST |
| ↓ 40,000 | LOST |
| ↑ 80,000 | LOST |
| ↑ 75,000 | LOST |
| ↑ 77,500 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
↓ 75,000↑ 80,000↑ 150,000
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 51% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
What price will Bitcoin hit in May?
Frequently asked questions
- How did "What price will Bitcoin hit in May?" resolve?
- It resolved ↓ 75,000 around June 1, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 50.5% one day before close, 61.5% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $42.2M across 25 outcomes.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.