Resolved market scorecard
What price will Bitcoin hit in July?: result and scorecard
Resolved ↓ 62,500. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 4.9%; a week before, 62.5%. $25.0M traded in total.
Result
↓ 62,500
resolved July 31, 2026
Price 1 day before
4.9%
Market was confident and wrong
Price 7 days before
62.5%
30 days before: –
Volume
$25.0M
30 outcomes
BitcoinMonthlyHit PriceCryptoCrypto Prices
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| ↓ 62,500 | WON |
| ↑ 65,000 | WON |
| ↑ 65,000 | WON |
| ↑ 65,000 | WON |
| ↓ 65,000 | WON |
| ↓ 62,500 | WON |
| ↑ 62,500 | WON |
| ↑ 65,000 | WON |
| ↑ 65,000 | WON |
| ↓ 65,000 | WON |
| ↑ 62,500 | WON |
| ↓ 60,000 | WON |
| ↑ 67,500 | LOST |
| ↑ 70,000 | LOST |
| ↑ 100,000 | LOST |
| ↓ 57,500 | LOST |
| ↓ 60,000 | LOST |
| ↑ 72,500 | LOST |
| ↑ 75,000 | LOST |
| ↑ 80,000 | LOST |
| ↓ 55,000 | LOST |
| ↓ 52,500 | LOST |
| ↑ 82,500 | LOST |
| ↑ 77,500 | LOST |
| ↓ 50,000 | LOST |
| ↓ 47,500 | LOST |
| ↓ 37,500 | LOST |
| ↓ 45,000 | LOST |
| ↓ 42,500 | LOST |
| ↓ 40,000 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
↓ 62,500↑ 65,000↑ 65,000↑ 65,000
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 5% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
What price will Bitcoin hit in July?
Frequently asked questions
- How did "What price will Bitcoin hit in July?" resolve?
- It resolved ↓ 62,500 around August 1, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 4.9% one day before close, 62.5% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $25.0M across 30 outcomes.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.