Bitcoin above ___ on November 8?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is 70,000 at 98.9%, ahead of 68,000 at 98.8%. $56K traded across 11 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
BitcoinWeeklyMulti StrikesCryptoCrypto Prices
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| 70,000 | 98.9% | -0.4 |
| 68,000 | 98.8% | -0.5 |
| 72,000 | 95.5% | -3.9 |
| 74,000 | 83.1% | -15.3 |
| 76,000 | 54.0% | -41.5 |
| 78,000 | 21.5% | -63.5 |
| 80,000 | 6.5% | -51.5 |
| 82,000 | 2.3% | -25.8 |
| 84,000 | 0.4% | -9.0 |
| 86,000 | 0.3% | -2.8 |
| 88,000 | 0.1% | -0.9 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Bitcoin above ___ on November 8?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, 70,000 is the favorite at 98.9%, followed by 68,000 at 98.8%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 8, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $56K in total and $28K in the last 24 hours, with about $444K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.