UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 semis: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Paris Saint-Germain at 62.0%, ahead of Barcelona at 56.5%. $55K traded across 36 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
UCLSoccerSportsChampions League
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 62.0% | 0.0 |
| Barcelona | 56.5% | +1.5 |
| Arsenal | 56.0% | 0.0 |
| Bayern Munich | 47.0% | +0.5 |
| Real Madrid | 44.5% | 0.0 |
| Manchester City | 33.0% | 0.0 |
| Inter Milan | 19.5% | -1.5 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 18.0% | -0.5 |
| Liverpool | 17.5% | 0.0 |
| Aston Villa | 14.0% | +2.5 |
| Como | 13.9% | +0.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | 11.5% | -10.0 |
| Manchester United | 9.0% | -2.0 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 8.5% | 0.0 |
| Sporting CP | 7.5% | -0.5 |
| Fenerbahçe | 7.5% | 0.0 |
| Lille | 5.6% | 0.0 |
| Roma | 5.5% | -1.0 |
| Napoli | 5.0% | +0.5 |
| RB Leipzig | 5.0% | -0.5 |
| Porto | 5.0% | -0.5 |
| PSV Eindhoven | 4.7% | +0.1 |
| Real Betis | 4.5% | -1.5 |
| Villarreal | 3.7% | 0.0 |
| Lens | 3.6% | 0.0 |
| Club Brugge | 3.5% | -0.1 |
| Viking | 3.3% | 0.0 |
| Slovan Bratislava | 3.0% | +0.1 |
| AEK Athens | 2.9% | 0.0 |
| LASK | 2.8% | +1.7 |
| Slavia Prague | 2.6% | -1.5 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 2.5% | -0.4 |
| Galatasaray | 2.4% | 0.0 |
| Sabah | 1.6% | 0.0 |
| Feyenoord | 1.3% | 0.0 |
| Bodø/Glimt | 1.1% | -1.6 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 semis"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Paris Saint-Germain is the favorite at 62.0%, followed by Barcelona at 56.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on April 18, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $55K in total and $224 in the last 24 hours, with about $40K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.