UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 quarters: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Paris Saint-Germain at 84.5%, ahead of Real Madrid at 80.5%. $78K traded across 36 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
UCLSoccerSportsChampions League
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 84.5% | +1.5 |
| Real Madrid | 80.5% | 0.0 |
| Barcelona | 79.0% | -0.5 |
| Arsenal | 76.5% | 0.0 |
| Bayern Munich | 74.5% | 0.0 |
| Manchester City | 66.5% | +1.5 |
| Liverpool | 63.0% | +0.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | 40.0% | +1.5 |
| Inter Milan | 35.0% | -9.5 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 34.0% | -4.0 |
| Como | 33.5% | +1.0 |
| Aston Villa | 33.0% | -4.0 |
| Manchester United | 27.5% | -1.0 |
| Sporting CP | 23.5% | 0.0 |
| Club Brugge | 20.5% | -1.5 |
| Real Betis | 19.5% | -1.5 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 18.5% | -3.0 |
| Bodø/Glimt | 16.3% | -2.7 |
| Feyenoord | 14.0% | +1.0 |
| Fenerbahçe | 13.7% | -0.4 |
| Napoli | 13.0% | -7.0 |
| Galatasaray | 12.7% | -0.1 |
| Porto | 12.5% | -4.5 |
| RB Leipzig | 12.0% | +0.5 |
| PSV Eindhoven | 11.0% | -1.0 |
| Roma | 10.5% | -10.5 |
| Villarreal | 10.5% | 0.0 |
| Lille | 5.1% | -0.1 |
| AEK Athens | 5.1% | 0.0 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 3.6% | -0.5 |
| Lens | 3.0% | +1.1 |
| Slovan Bratislava | 2.9% | -0.6 |
| LASK | 2.9% | +0.1 |
| Viking | 1.6% | 0.0 |
| Slavia Prague | 1.4% | 0.0 |
| Sabah | 0.7% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League quarterfinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 quarters"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Paris Saint-Germain is the favorite at 84.5%, followed by Real Madrid at 80.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on March 20, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $78K in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $39K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.