UEFA Champions League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Paris Saint-Germain at 93.5%, ahead of Real Madrid at 93.0%. $74K traded across 36 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
UCLSoccerSportsUCL MatchdayHide From New
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 93.5% | 0.0 |
| Real Madrid | 93.0% | +3.3 |
| Arsenal | 91.5% | +7.5 |
| Barcelona | 86.0% | -1.5 |
| Bayern Munich | 76.5% | +1.5 |
| Manchester City | 70.5% | +2.0 |
| Liverpool | 64.5% | +2.0 |
| Aston Villa | 38.5% | -3.0 |
| Como | 34.0% | -0.5 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 28.5% | 0.0 |
| Real Betis | 27.0% | +1.0 |
| Club Brugge | 22.0% | +1.3 |
| Inter Milan | 21.5% | -3.5 |
| Sporting CP | 20.0% | +2.0 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 19.5% | +2.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | 12.5% | +2.5 |
| Manchester United | 8.0% | -4.5 |
| Roma | 5.5% | -2.0 |
| Fenerbahçe | 3.5% | -0.8 |
| Sabah | 3.4% | -0.1 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 3.3% | 0.0 |
| LASK | 2.9% | +0.1 |
| Lens | 2.5% | +0.9 |
| Viking | 2.5% | -0.5 |
| Galatasaray | 2.5% | -0.5 |
| Feyenoord | 2.3% | 0.0 |
| Porto | 1.7% | 0.0 |
| Villarreal | 1.6% | 0.0 |
| Slovan Bratislava | 1.6% | -0.8 |
| Bodø/Glimt | 1.6% | 0.0 |
| PSV Eindhoven | 0.9% | -0.5 |
| RB Leipzig | 0.7% | 0.0 |
| Napoli | 0.5% | -0.1 |
| AEK Athens | 0.4% | -0.5 |
| Slavia Prague | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Lille | 0.3% | -0.1 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 8 of the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered. If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 8 of the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from doing so), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase, its market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "UEFA Champions League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Paris Saint-Germain is the favorite at 93.5%, followed by Real Madrid at 93.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on February 28, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $74K in total and $6K in the last 24 hours, with about $54K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.