UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 final: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Atlético Madrid at 44.0%, ahead of Paris Saint-Germain at 35.0%. $8K traded across 36 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
UCLSoccerSportsHide From NewChampions League
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | 44.0% | -5.5 |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 35.0% | +4.5 |
| Arsenal | 32.0% | -1.5 |
| Barcelona | 31.0% | 0.0 |
| Real Madrid | 27.5% | -1.5 |
| Bayern Munich | 27.0% | +4.0 |
| Manchester City | 19.0% | -1.0 |
| Liverpool | 11.0% | -1.0 |
| Manchester United | 8.5% | +2.0 |
| Villarreal | 8.4% | -0.1 |
| Aston Villa | 7.5% | 0.0 |
| Feyenoord | 7.3% | +0.1 |
| Lens | 6.7% | +0.7 |
| Napoli | 6.6% | +0.3 |
| Inter Milan | 6.5% | +0.5 |
| Roma | 6.5% | 0.0 |
| Real Betis | 6.3% | -0.2 |
| Sporting CP | 6.0% | -0.1 |
| LASK | 5.9% | +0.1 |
| Como | 5.5% | +0.1 |
| Fenerbahçe | 5.2% | 0.0 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 5.1% | -0.1 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 5.0% | +0.1 |
| PSV Eindhoven | 4.7% | -0.1 |
| RB Leipzig | 3.4% | +0.1 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 3.4% | 0.0 |
| Lille | 2.9% | -3.0 |
| Club Brugge | 2.9% | +0.1 |
| Bodø/Glimt | 2.5% | 0.0 |
| Porto | 2.4% | -41.8 |
| Galatasaray | 2.4% | -42.8 |
| Viking | 2.3% | 0.0 |
| Sabah | 2.3% | 0.0 |
| AEK Athens | 1.9% | 0.0 |
| Slavia Prague | 1.3% | 0.0 |
| Slovan Bratislava | 1.3% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2027 UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the 2027 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 final"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Atlético Madrid is the favorite at 44.0%, followed by Paris Saint-Germain at 35.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on May 9, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $8K in total and $160 in the last 24 hours, with about $61K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.