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Home / Markets / Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2028?
Live market data

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2028?: live odds and probabilities

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 7.5% (-42.0 pts in 24h). $1K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

7.5%
No 92.5% · Trade →

24h move

-42.0
pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$1K
24h $1K · liquidity $24K

Closes

January 1, 2028
421 days left

TrumpPolitics

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Yes7.5% -42.00.0$1K1.0¢
No92.5% +42.00.0$1K–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%11-0511-0511-06
Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 8% risks 8¢ to win 93¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2028?
As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 7.5% and No at 92.5%, on $1K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$1K in total and $1K in the last 24 hours, with about $24K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.