#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of November 2?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is DeepSeek at 96.8%, ahead of AI lab F at 50.0%. $5K traded across 15 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| DeepSeek | 96.8% | -0.2 |
| AI lab F | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| AI lab G | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| 1.1% | 0.0 | |
| Tencent | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| OpenAI | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Xiaomi | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| MiniMax | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Qwen | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Z.ai | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Nvidia | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Anthropic | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Meta | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| xAI | 0.4% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of November 2 to November 8, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of November 2 to November 8, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of November 2 to November 8, 2026 once the figures for the week of November 9, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of November 9, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on November 13, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of November 2 to November 8, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of November 2 to November 8, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of November 2?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, DeepSeek is the favorite at 96.8%, followed by AI lab F at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 10, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $5K in total and $49 in the last 24 hours, with about $5K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.