Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly Election Winner: result and scorecard
Resolved TVK. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 9.7%; a week before, 8.8%. $22.9M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
IndiaMain ElectionIndian ElectionsPoliticsWorld Elections
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| TVK | WON |
| INC | LOST |
| ADMK | LOST |
| DMK | LOST |
| AITC | LOST |
| BJP | LOST |
| CPI(M) | LOST |
| NPEP | LOST |
| DMDK | LOST |
| NCP | LOST |
| BSP | LOST |
| CPI | LOST |
| Other | LOST |
| Party B | LOST |
| Party C | LOST |
| Party D | LOST |
| Party E | LOST |
| Party F | LOST |
| Party G | LOST |
| Party H | LOST |
| Party I | LOST |
| Party J | LOST |
| Party K | LOST |
| Party L | LOST |
| Party M | LOST |
| Party N | LOST |
| Party O | LOST |
| Party P | LOST |
| Party Q | LOST |
| Party R | LOST |
| Party S | LOST |
| Party T | LOST |
| Party U | LOST |
| Party V | LOST |
| Party W | LOST |
| Party X | LOST |
| Party Y | LOST |
| Party Z | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes statewide. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly Election Winner" resolve?
- It resolved TVK around April 23, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 9.7% one day before close, 8.8% one week before and 7.3% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $22.9M across 38 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.