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Live market data

Deepseek IPO by...?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is December 31, 2027 at 68.0%, ahead of September 30, 2027 at 64.0%. $61K traded across 5 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

68.0%
December 31, 2027 · Trade →

24h move

+2.1
pts · 7d +3.1

Volume

$61K
24h $1K · liquidity $6K

Closes

January 1, 2028
421 days left

AIIPOIPOsIndiaFinance

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
December 31, 202768.0% +2.1+3.1$11K10.5¢
September 30, 202764.0% 0.0+2.0$12K6.0¢
June 30, 202744.0% +0.5-2.0$9K12.0¢
March 31, 202721.0% 0.0-2.0$17K6.0¢
December 31, 20261.8% -0.4-2.9$13K2.3¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%07-1509-1011-06
December 31, 2027September 30, 2027June 30, 2027March 31, 2027

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deepseek completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Deepseek is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying December 31, 2027 at 68% risks 68¢ to win 32¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Deepseek IPO by...?"?
As of November 6, 2026, December 31, 2027 is the favorite at 68.0%, followed by September 30, 2027 at 64.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$61K in total and $1K in the last 24 hours, with about $6K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.